ARENA: Time to start mining fantasy football gold
Published 11:45 pm Tuesday, July 29, 2014
NFL camps are kicking off, which means one thing of the utmost importance for all of us: We’ll be drafting our fantasy teams soon! So let’s take a look at some players I think will be exceptionally advantageous selections in 2014.
Jimmy Graham: The best early pick value of a fantasy draft. Graham is basically free money.
Two years ago, Graham played injured and was frequently lifted in the redzone, unable to run block effectively due to a balky back and injured wrist. He still scored nine times.
Fast forward to last season where there were no such restrictions on him: 16 touchdowns. The crazy thing is Graham still DIDN’T REACH HIS CEILING. After tearing the plantar fascia in his foot in Week 6, he slowed down the rest of the way while still being very effective. He dropped off his original pace, though, which would have had him challenging the NFL’s single season receiving yardage record. Granted, it was only a five-game sample size, but the point is, with Graham, you’re always paying for what he’s done, with even more upside to what he could be. Having an extra superstar receiver plugged in at tight end is insanely valuable.
Jordy Nelson: Is always underrated and will be again. Nelson was largely a fantasy non-factor in the eight games Aaron Rodgers missed all or parts of and one of the most valuable receivers in the game in those when Rodgers played. Nelson’s come into his own as one of the league’s best receivers and is money in the bank once the Packers hit the redzone. Despite Green Bay going more run-heavy than ever in the Rodgers/McCarthy era — even when Rodgers suited up — Nelson had his most targets by far, 126, vs. his previous high of 96 in 2011. Former Packer James Jones signed in Oakland this offseason as well, so Randall Cobb’s return from injury shouldn’t eat into Nelson’s looks.
Brandon Marshall: Another guy who is money in the bank. Not much to say besides, like Nelson, he’s a big target in the redzone and Chicago has evolved into a pass-first team. A great talent that’s seen a tier off from guys like A.J. Green, but he’s on that level.
Keenan Allen: A fantastic talent with a resurgent quarterback throwing to him. Nobody in San Diego will challenge him for the team’s target crown. Probably should have been the Rookie of the Year over Eddie Lacy.
Andre Ellington: A stick of dynamite. Seriously, Ellington would have been a more than serviceable flex play by the end of last season and one would think the Cards will give him more carries in 2014. Don’t overpay, but if he’s hovering around the fifth round as he is in current rankings, pounce. At 5.5 yards per rush and 9.5 yards per catch, he proved one of the NFL’s most efficient and explosive playmakers as a rookie.
Percy Harvin: We know Harvin’s health is always an issue, but right now he’s wide receiver No. 20 on ESPN’s rankings. Golden Tate is gone from Seattle as is Sidney Rice. Harvin was always going to be this team’s top target and he proved two years ago in Minnesota that he needs far less than a Russell Wilson to post top numbers for whenever he’s on the field.
Of course, that isn’t always, which brings us to …
Doug Baldwin: Baldwin can play. He’ll probably be serviceable this season with Tate and Rice gone and if and when Harvin gets dinged, he can produce as a weekly fantasy play. He can pay off late for you.
Philip Rivers: QB 14. Absurd. I’m not sure any quarterback outplayed Rivers on an efficiency basis last season. He was very, very good and should be again.
Bishop Sankey: The Titans offensive line is loaded. Chris Johnson isn’t what he used to be and has moved on to New York. We’ll see how good Sankey is, but there’s a chance to yield very, very high upside with this particular team. Note: Under Ken Whisenhunt as offensive coordinator late last season, San Diego began running the ball at an absurd rate. It’s what he wants to do and actually fits the new head coach’s roster more than his previous one in San Diego.
Jeremy Maclin: If he’s relatively back to form, Maclin will A. Not have to share with DeSean Jackson for once and B. Reap the benefits of all of the one-on-one coverage Chip Kelly’s offense creates.
Rashad Jennings: Just has to beat out David Wilson, who has been chained to Tom Coughlin’s doghouse in each of the past two seasons. The Giants were able to run the ball with Andre Brown last season (5.2 YPC) and Brown has departed.
Jennings was very good in Oakland last year and was a very impressive backup to Maurice Jones-Drew in Jacksonville aside from one bad season.